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Electric Vehicles 2010-2020
電気自動車2010-2020
急成長を遂げている電気自動車産業を理解するには単に自動車だけに眼を向けるだけでは不十分です。総市場規模は自動車の約2倍で、今後もそれは変わらないでしょう。トヨタ、ホンダ、日産といったリーダーはかなり前から多くの応用領域に向けて電気自動車を製造しています。実際、その多くは価格、性能に最も影響する構成材、つまりバッテリーの生産も支配しています。例えば、日産はそのバッテリー合弁会社が製造した次世代リチウム電池を自社のフォークリフトや自動車に使用するという主要プログラムを持っています。トヨタは単に電気自動車だけでなく、フォークリフトからバス、電動車いすに至るまで重量、軽量の産業用EVを製造しており、それぞれ別部門の知識を全員で共有しています。
ハイブリッド車については多くの情報がありますが、現在はハイブリッド軍用トラック、バス、自転車の売上もかなり増えています。
新刊レポート
このような現状を踏まえ、IDTechExは"Electric Vehicles 2010-2020"というテーマで新しいレポートを発刊しました。これは10年に及ぶこのテーマの追究と、集中的デスクリサーチ、訪問面接調査に基づく調査レポートです。重量産業用、軽量産業用および商業用、障害者用モービリティ、自転車、ゴルフカー、軍用車、海上船舶、その他の章で構成されています。その範囲はさらにモバイルロボットやその他の自立型水中ロボット(AUV)にまで及びます。
これらの各カテゴリーについて2010−2020年における売上数量、金額、主要構成材の詳細な予測を載せています。市場動向、技術、計画中の自動車について歴史的背景を交えながら185のグラフ、58の表を用いて解説します。
ついに中国の全貌が明らかに
IDTechExは主に欧米や日本の有名メーカーの製品を調査するといったよくありがちな過ちは犯しません。世界の電気自動車メーカーの66%は中国が占めています。世界の電気自動車の90%以上が中国製で、主に中国国内で使用されています。電気自動車の最も有望な市場は中国にあり、ハイブリッド車のバッテリー、モーター、その他現在の電気自動車の主要構成部品に使用されている希土類元素の埋蔵量の95%を採掘し支配しています。このレポートに掲載されているEVメーカー420社のうち中国企業が大きな割合を占めます。
独自の予測
EV市場全体について新たに10年間を予測したレポートはIDTechEx以外にありません。世界的な経済危機の影響を受けまだ完全に回復していないセクターもありますが、電気自動車産業は今後10年間も堅調に推移すると予想されます。
目次
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Definitions and scope of this report
1.1.1. Learning from the past
1.2. Pure electric vehicles
1.3. Hybrid electric vehicles
1.4. Objectives
1.5. Benefits
2. HEAVY INDUSTRIAL EVS
2.1. What is included
2.2. Future opportunities Caterpillar USA, JC Bamford UK
2.3. Nissan lithium forklift Japan
2.4. New Toyota forklifts Japan
2.5. Zheijang Goodsense Forklift China
2.6. Linde Germany, Komatsu Japan
2.7. Listing of manufacturers
2.8. Market size
2.9. Market forecasts 2010 to 2020
3. LIGHT INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS
3.1. What is included
3.1.1. Sub categories
3.1.2. Buses
3.2. Market drivers
3.2.1. Governments get involved
3.3. Importance of batteries and power trains
3.3.1. Navistar and Modec USA, UK
3.3.2. Freightliner and Enova USA
3.3.3. EVI and Valence USA
3.3.4. China Vehicles Company
3.4. EVs for local services
3.5. Airport EVs
3.6. Small people-movers
3.7. Light industrial aids
3.8. Heavy duty on-road trucks will now become hybrids
3.9. Listing of manufacturers
3.10. Market forecasts 2010-2020
4. MOBILITY FOR THE DISABLED
4.1. The sector with the most compelling and enduring need
4.2. The demographic time-bomb
4.2.1. Ageing population and the dependent elderly
4.2.2. Laws make mobility easier
4.3. Types of mobility vehicle
4.3.1. Growth by new market segments
4.3.2. Interchina Industry Group China
4.4. Market drivers
4.4.1. Geographical distribution
4.4.2. Needs creating new segments
4.4.3. What is driving regional differences?
4.4.4. Zhejiang R&P Industry China
4.4.5. Pride Mobility, USA
4.5. Listing of manufacturers
4.6. Market forecasts 2010 to 2020
4.6.1. Growth by creating new markets
5. TWO WHEELED EVS AND ALLIED VEHICLES
5.1. What is included
5.1.1. Copenhagen bicycle USA, Italy
5.2. Prices and performances compared
5.3. Yamaha Japan
5.4. Eko Vehicles hybrid scooters India
5.5. Interchina Industry Group foldable electric bike China
5.6. Honda Japan
5.7. Suzuki fuel cell bike Japan
5.8. Peugeot E-Vivacity scooter France
5.9. Cytronex lightweight bicycle USA
5.10. Market drivers
5.10.1. Bicycles and electric bicycles
5.10.2. Hybrid motorcycles
5.10.3. YikeBike and other exotica - New Zealand, USA
5.11. Listing of manufacturers
5.11.2. China
5.12. Market forecasts 2010 to 2020
6. GOLF EVS
6.1. What is included
6.2. Market drivers
6.2.1. Golf course creation
6.2.2. Secondary market - golf cars not used for golf
6.2.3. No more growth
6.2.4. Change of leader? Ingersoll Rand and Texton USA
6.2.5. Suzhou Eagle and many others in China
6.3. Listing of manufacturers
6.4. Market forecasts 2010 to 2020
6.4.2. Statistics for all bicycles
7. CARS
7.1. Adoption of electric cars
7.2. US and Europe try to catch up
7.3. Rapid increase in number of manufacturers
7.4. Providing charging infrastructure
7.4.1. Recharging points
7.4.2. Battery changing points
7.4.3. Can the grid cope?
8. PURE ELECTRIC CARS
8.1. Deja Vu
8.1.2. Pure electric cars are a necessary part of the range?
8.2. Examples of pure EV cars
8.2.1. Nissan Japan - most ambitious of all?
8.2.2. Here come the Chinese - BYD, Brilliance, Geely, Chengfang
8.2.3. Jianghsu China
8.2.4. Interchina Industry Group China
8.2.5. High performance pure EVs - Tesla USA
8.2.6. Pininfarina Bollore Bluecar France, Italy
8.2.7. Rinspeed UC Switzerland
8.2.8. REVA India
8.2.9. Club Car USA
8.2.10. Toyota Japan
8.2.11. Detroit Electric USA
8.2.12. Tara Tiny India
8.2.13. Zap Alias USA
8.2.14. Mitsubishi Japan
9. HYBRID CARS
9.1. Construction and advantages of hybrids
9.2. Evolution
9.3. Chevrolet Volt USA
9.4. Ford plug-in hybrid USA
9.5. Bright Automotive SUV
9.6. Market drivers
9.6.1. Leading indicators
9.7. History of hybrids and planned models to 2013
9.8. Market 2010-2020
10. MILITARY
10.1. Examples of military EVs
10.1.1. Hummer USA / China
10.1.2. Quantum Technologies USA Aggressor AMV
10.1.3. US Army trucks etc - ZAP, Columbia ParCar USA
10.1.4. Oshkosh Truck Corp USA
10.1.5. Plug-in trucks - BAE Systems UK
10.1.6. Electric robot vehicles USA
10.1.7. UQM unmanned combat vehicle USA
10.2. In the air
10.2.1. DARPA insects USA
10.2.2. COM-BAT robot bat USA
10.2.3. Aerovironment electric aircraft USA
10.3. Examples of military EVs - in the water
10.3.1. Robot jellyfish USA and Germany
10.4. Manufacturers of military EVs
10.5. Military EV sales projections 2010-2020
11. MARINE
11.1.1. Subeo Gemini submarine UK
11.2. Market segments
11.2.1. Total market
11.2.2. Underwater
11.2.3. On the water
11.3. Commonality with land EVs
11.3.1. Grants for land and water
11.3.2. Effect of land EV manufacturers entering marine
11.4. Market drivers
11.4.2. Pollution laws back electric boats - India, Europe, USA
11.4.3. Energy harvesting superyacht UK
11.4.4. Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) - Europe, USA
11.5. Wave and sun powered sea gliders - Liquid Robotics USA
11.5.2. Other AUV gliders USA
11.6. Remote control rescue - Scorpio UK
11.7. AUVs serving underwater research stations and ocean monitoring USA
11.8. AUV swimmers USA
11.9. Swimmer AUVs, Florida Atlantic University USA
11.10. Mine Destruction AUV UK
11.11. Leisure and tourist submarines USA
11.12. Manufacturers by country and product
11.13. Selling prices
11.13.1. US Submarines Inc USA
11.13.2. Private submarines UK, Canada
11.14. Solar powered road and water journey across Europe
11.15. Marine EV sales projections, 2010 to 2020
11.15.1. Surface and subsurface boat markets
12. OTHER EVS
12.1. Definition
12.2. Market drivers
12.3. Listing of manufacturers by country and product
12.4. Market size and trends
12.4.1. Non-military mobile robots - USA, UK, Japan
12.4.2. The Electrolux Automower Sweden
12.4.3. Rescue robots in Germany
12.4.4. Robots on Mars
12.4.5. Leisure
12.4.6. Research and hobbyist
12.5. Market forecasts 2010 to 2020
APPENDIX 1: MOTORS AND BATTERIES
APPENDIX 2: GLOSSARY
APPENDIX 3: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY
TABLES
1.1. Some reasons why ICE vehicles are replaced with EVs
2.1. Twenty examples of manufacturers of heavy industrial EVs by country
2.2. Percentage split of global manufacture of heavy industrial trucks
2.3. Distribution of trade volume for heavy industrial EVs
2.4. Global league table of powered industrial truck manufacturers 2010 by value of sales
2.5. Global sales of heavy industrial EVs by numbers, ex factory unit price and total value 2010 to 2020, rounded.
3.1. 150 manufacturers of light industrial and commercial EVs and drive trains by country and examples of their products
3.2. Global sales of light industrial and commercial EVs by numbers thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded
3.3. Breakdown of global market in 2010 for light industrial and commercial vehicles - global park, new vehicles, % electric, number electric, exfactory unit price and value for the subsections Full Size Buses, Other On Road, Airport
4.1. Statistics relevant to the challenge to society caused by ageing population
4.2. Evolution of three families of powered vehicles for the disabled
4.3. Evolution of power chairs 1980 to 2010
4.4. Evolution of scooters for the disabled 1980 to 2010
4.5. The continental percentage split of markets for vehicles for the disabled by value in 2010
4.6. The percentage split of market for vehicles for the disabled by country within Europe
4.7. The numbers in thousands of scooters plus power chairs that were and will be sold in Europe 2005 to 2015
4.8. Features of mobility vehicles that may hold up the price by offering more in future
4.9. The percentage distribution of manufacture between Taiwan and Mainland China by value of vehicles for the disabled 2005, 2010 and 2015
4.10. Market for EVs for the disabled by geographical region, ex works pricing and percentage split in 2005, 2010 and 2020
4.11. 82 examples of manufacturers of EVs for the disabled by country
4.12. Global sales of EVs used as mobility aids for the disabled by number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars, 2010 to 2020, rounded
5.1. Prices and performance of electric two wheelers
5.2. 70 examples of manufacturers of two wheel EVs and electric quad bikes
5.3. Largest suppliers of electric bicycles by number (not in order)
5.4. 34 sources of two wheelers in China by brand, region and battery chemistry
5.5. Listing of light electric scooter makers in China. Most use lead-acid battery chemistry but there is a move to lithium batteries
5.6. Global sales of two wheel and allied EVs number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded
6.1. 18 examples of golf EV manufacturers
6.2. Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
6.3. Geographical split of golf EV sales by value 2000, 2005 and 2015
7.1. Global stimulus for fuel efficient cars in 2009
7.2. 121 examples of manufacturers of EV cars
9.1. Major market drivers for growth in hybrid sales
9.2. Hybrid electric vehicles and associated events 1876-2013
9.3. Global sales of electric cars number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
9.4. Value of the hybrid, pure electric and total electric car market in billions of dollars 2010-2020
9.5. Number of hybrid and pure electric cars plugged in and the total number in thousands 2010-2020.
10.1. 26 suppliers of military EVs
10.2. Global sales of electric military vehicles in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
11.1. 44 examples of manufacturers of EV electric water craft
11.2. Indicative prices for marine EVs in 2005
11.3. Global sales of electric marine craft in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
12.1. 30 examples of manufacturers of mobile robots, toy, leisure, research or hobbyist EVs by country and product
12.2. Global sales of other electric vehicles in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
FIGURES
1.1. EV sectors with the largest gross sales value and profits over the years
1.2. Electric vehicle value chain
1.3. Competing electric drive train technologies and their targets by market sector
2.1. Caterpillar CAT series hybrid diesel electric bulldozer
2.2. Toyota Material Handling has launched the new Traigo 48 in 2010, a powerful electric forklift fitted into a compact and agile package.
2.3. Forklift from one of the many Chinese manufacturers
3.1. Orion VII hybrid electric bus USA
3.2. Nova RTS hybrid electric bus USA
3.3. Designline gas turbine hybrid electric bus in the UK
3.4. Castrosua Tempus hybrid city bus at the 2008 FIAA (International Bus and Coach Fair) in Spain
3.5. Volvo hybrid bus Sweden
3.6. Gillig low floor hybrid bus in USA
3.7. Two buses in Brazil using the locally made Eletra hybrid power trains
3.8. Kent electric city bus from China
3.9. Hino Blue Ribbon hybrid diesel electric bus in China
3.10. Modec electric pick up vehicle in London UK
3.11. Freightliner MT-45 step van uses 120kW Enova electric drive system
3.12. EVI truck powered by Valence lithium batteries
3.13. Electric pick up truck from China Vehicles Company
3.14. Electric bus in Nepal
3.15. Mobile electric scissor lift by Wuhan Chancay Machinery and Electronics
3.16. Garbage collecting electric car
3.17. Market for light industrial and commercial electric vehicles in 2010 in $ billion
3.18. Market for industrial and commercial electric vehicles in 2020
4.1. Percentage of dependent elderly 1970 to 2040
4.2. The Electric Car (INEC-KARO) for the disabled from Interchina Industry Group
4.3. Zhejiang R&P Industry ES 413
4.4. Pride Jazzy - making new things possible
5.1. The Copenhagen bicycle
5.2. The Copenhagen Wheel
5.3. Yamaha EC-f and EC-fs concept electric scooters
5.4. Yamaha EC03
5.5. Eko Vehicles ET-120 hybrid scooter
5.6. Foldable Electric Bike (LNEB-9601
5.7. Honda EV Cub sports twin, front and rear electric drive motors.
5.8. Suzuki Burgman Fuel Cell Scooter powered by Intelligent Energy
5.9. Peugeot E-Vivacity electric scooter planned for 2010
5.10. Cytronex light-weight electric bike
5.11. e-bikes parked in Yangzhou China
5.12. Electric mopeds parked in Cheghdu China
5.13. The YikeBike from New Zealand
5.14. YikeBike in action
6.1. Tonaro golf and general purpose vehicle from China
6.2. Suzhou Eagle two and four seat golf cars from China
6.3. Yongkang Fourstar golf vehicles from China
6.4. Shadong Wuzheng golf cars from China
6.5. Jinhua Ryder golf car from China
6.6. World bicycle and automoblie production, 1950-2007
7.1. Geographical distribution of 120 companies making or intending to make electric cars.
8.1. Trouve pure EV car in 1881
8.2. Red Bug pure EV in 1930
8.3. Sinclair C5
8.4. Aptera
8.5. Gemcars
8.6. The BYD E6 pure EV car
8.7. Jianghsu DHCLBC EF-1 car
8.8. Electric Car (INEC-BOBI)
8.9. Tesla Motors Roadster pure EV performance car
8.10. Pininfarina Bollore Bluecar showing solar panels on roof and hood
8.11. Pininfarina Bollore Bluecar cross section
8.12. Rinspeed urban commuter electric microcar
8.13. REVA pure EV car
8.14. The Club Car street legal car launched in 2009
8.15. Planned Toyota pure EV city car.
8.16. Detroit Electric
8.17. Tara Tiny
8.18. ZAP Alias pure EV three wheeler
8.19. Mitsubishi pure EV car
9.1. Evolution of EV design for on-road and many non-road vehicles
9.2. Chevrolet Volt battery, generator and drive unit positioning
10.1. Oshkosh truck
10.2. COM-BAT
10.3. Robotic Bat
10.4. Aerovironment energy system for large aircraft
10.5. Aerovironment large electric aircraft
10.6. Aerovironment electric plane
10.7. Military disposable surveillance craft
10.8. AquaJelly
10.9. AirJelly
11.1. A Subeo Gemini submarine
11.2. The Subeo Gemini front view
11.3. Subeo specialist underwater vehicle
11.4. Electric deck boat by Leisure Life
11.5. Electric launch
11.6. Solar powered boats for tourism cruising at 12 kph on Lake Geneva
11.7. The rigid-wing superyacht concept called 'Soliloquy'
11.8. Head on view of the rigid-wing superyacht 'Soliloquy'
11.9. Wave and sun powered sea glider
11.10. Autonomous wave glider
11.11. The British Scorpio remote controlled rescue vehicle that released the trapped Russian submarine in August 2005.
11.12. The Ocean Explorer AUV
11.13. Ocean Voyager II AUV
11.14. A British Remote Controlled Mine Destruction Vehicle being lowered into the water
11.15. Personal submarine
11.16. Wet submarine
11.17. Two-person SportSub submarine
11.18. Triton personal submarine
11.19. Deep Flight Aviator two-person leisure submarine
11.20. Seattle personal luxury submarine by US Submarines
11.21. US Submarine's main tourist submarine
11.22. Sea Scooter by Pro Audio Elite of Italy
11.23. Small electric boats for hire
12.1. The new Electrolux Automower
12.2. Robots for Mars
12.3. Mission Scenario To Aid Technology Development
12.4. Robot Work Crew
発刊日
2010/01/01
体裁
PDF / 261ページ
販売価格
3,750USD
発行
IDTechEx
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