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Smart Grid and Consumers
スマートグリッドに関する消費者の姿勢
スマートグリッドと消費者との関係は、いまだによく解明されていません。しかし、スマートグリッドは急速に形作られ、多くの企業が市場に参戦し、州の政策に効力が現れ、現実に配備され始め、スマートグリッドはこの消費者需要という未開の領域に進出し始めています。しかし、やはり初期プロジェクトや予行試験からの楽観的な調査内容などとは異なり、現代社会での実用はコスト高や消費者抵抗など、多くの問題を抱えています。このような段階では、一歩下がり、この未開の領域を再評価することが重要です。
スマートグリッドは、米国で200億USドル、世界では700億USドルの市場規模が見込まれていますが、今の消費者の利用は、スマートメーターなどの形で、このおよそ10%しか占めていません。スマートグリッドが成功するためには、企業と消費者の双方向通信を確立しなければなりません。住宅での導入数やサービスが一定数に達しなければ、スマートグリッドが約束する構想は実現できないでしょう。
本レポートは、スマートグリッドと消費者の関係について多くの有益な識見を提供し、双方向通信の確立、消費者抵抗、住宅応用やサービスに重点を置いた高度なメーターインフラ、スマートメーター、需要反応、価格、住宅エネルギー管理システム、地域ネットワーク、スマート家電、人気の通信プラットフォームや未来の技術などを分析します。Cisco、Duke EnergyやGoogleなど未開拓市場へ参入する大手企業と、すでに参入し、市場を独占しているEnernocやControl4などの企業との競合状態も取り上げます。他にも、製品とマーケティング動向、最近のスマートグリッドの配備状況と消費者インタビューによるスマートグリッドの支持率などの情報も提供します。
目次
- Chapter 1: Executive Summary
-
Introduction
Need for This StudyConsumer Issues
The Smart Grid: Three Major Sectors
Applications/Software Sector Focus of Study
Eight A/S Categories
Smart Meters
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI)
Demand Response
Dynamic Pricing and Time-of-Use Pricing
Home Energy Management Systems
EIDs
HANs
Smart Appliances
Electric VehiclesConsumer Issues: Costs/SavingsAppliance and Software (A/S) Marketers
Consumer Issues: Smart Meters
An Obvious Response
Education and Customer Relations
Consumer Issues: Privacy
Consumer Issues: Safety/Health
Consumer Issues: Distributed Generation
Consumer Issues: PHEVs
Consumer Issues: Marketer MomentumMarketers: Smart MetersApplications/Software Trends
Marketers: Advanced Metering Infrastructure
Marketers: Demand Response
Marketers: Home Energy Management Systems
Table 1-1: Selected List of HEMS Marketers
Marketers: Home Area Networks
Marketers: Smart AppliancesProjected Number of U.S. Smart Meter InstallationsConsumer Surveys
Projected Number of World Smart Meter Installations
Communications Network Trends
Residential Demand Response Likely to Grow
Dynamic Pricing Trends
HEMS Trends
Compelling, Engaging EIDs
HAN Trends
Vast HAN Possibilities
Table 1-2: Selected List of HAN Applications by Category
Category
Applications
Media Possibilities
Global Giants Enter HAN
Smart Appliances: AHAM Definitions
Appliance Giants Forging Ahead
Fuel Cell Trends
Electric Vehicle Trends
Vehicle to Grid (V2G)
EV Charging InfrastructureLittle Consumer Awareness of Smart GridMarket Size and Projections
Bright Spot: Consumer Concerns over Energy CostsOverall Smart Grid: Size and Projections
Table 1-3: Overall Smart Grid Market: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: Smart Meters
Table 1-4: Smart Meter Category: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $) - Chapter 2: Introduction
-
Need for This Study
Two Key Terms Described and Defined
Description: Smart Grid
Smart Grid vs. Dumb Grid
Table 2-1: Smart Grid Benefits: Positive and Negative
Smart Grid Still in Its Infancy
Definition: Consumer (Residential Focus)
Figure 2-1: Number of Electrical Accounts by Consumer Class (in Millions)
Average Residential Electrical Consumption
Table 2-2: Average Residential Electrical Consumption and Pricing, 2008
Two Other Important Terms
Electric Utilities
Distributed Generation (DG)
The Smart Grid: Three Major Sectors
Applications/Software Sector Focus of Study
Three-Sector Interactions
Grid Infrastructure
Three-Tier System
Four North American Power Interconnections
NERC
FERC
ISOs and RTOs
Grid Infrastructure Problems and SG Solutions
Transmission Problems
Maintenance Problems
Efficiency Problems
Interconnection Problems
Peaker Plant Problems
Information and Communications Technology (ICT)
Overview
Information Technology
Hardware
Software
Grid Visualization Hardware and Software
Multiple Resolution Views
Layered Information
User-Specific Views
Analytical/Decision Software
Engineering Analysis Software
Mapping Software
Distribution Management Software
Storage Management Software
Meter Data Management Software
Outage Management Software
Renewable Energy Management Software
Security Management Software
Communications Technology
Communications Platforms
Power Line Communications
Broadband Over Power Lines
ZigBee
RF Mesh Networks
WiMax
Z-Wave
Comparison of Communications Platforms
Table 2-3: Selected Smart Grid Communication Technologies
Smart Sensors
Applications and Software
Eight A/S Categories
Smart Meters
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI)
Demand Response
Interruptible Tariffs
Direct Load Control (DLC)
Manual and Automatic DR Programs
Dynamic Pricing and Time-of-Use Pricing
Home Energy Management Systems
EIDs
HANs
Smart Appliances
Electric Vehicles - Chapter 3: Consumer Issues
-
Overview
Into the Unknown ZoneConsumer Issues: Costs/Savings
The Land of Consumer Demand
The Smart Grid Is Utility-Oriented
Debunking the Internet Analogy
Business Relation with Utilities
Popular Appeal Necessary for Success
Utility Benefits
Greater Reliability
Reduced Overhead/Administrative Costs
Fewer Customer Service Issues
Consumer Benefits
Personal Empowerment
Increase Intelligence
Advance Civilization
“Saving” Benefits
Saving the Environment
Saving the Grid
Saving Money
Skeptics on Consumer Benefits
Countering the Skeptics?OverviewConsumer Issues: Smart Meters
Minimal Money Savings
Expensive Equipment
Utilities Pass-Along Costs
Future Savings?OverviewConsumer Issues: Privacy
Backlash in California
Reverberations
First-Stage Consumer Burdens
Smart Meters, Dumb Rollout
Independent Audits Ordered
Unaddressed Problems
Smart Meter Controversy Spreads
Questions of Accuracy
Sowing Suspicions
Little Transparency
No Opt-Out
Generating Paranoia
Pushback
Ambiguities in the Savings Claims
Savings Not a Straightforward Proposition
No Visuals, No Savings
The Off-Peak “Fairy Tale”
A Look at Time-of-Use Pricing in Canada
Table 3-1: Sample Utility Bill: Before and After Time-of-Use Pricing (3/09 vs. 3/10)
Table 3-2: Sample Electricity Use by Time-of-Use Period, March 2010
Shifting Rationale
Alarm in the SG Industry
Fear of Organized Opposition
TURN’s Smart Meter Critique
Barreling Ahead into the Unknown Zone
An Obvious Response
Resisting an Adversarial Relationship
Poor Utility Customer Relations
Reasons for Negative Relations
Improving Customer Relations
Educational Efforts
The Consumer Enlightenment Model
Table 3-3: Smart Grid Benefits: Positive and Negative
Utilities Begin to Get the Message
The Question of Education
SG Educators Appeal to the Future
SG Educators Disregard the Current Economy
RecommendationOverviewConsumer Issues: Safety/HealthOverviewConsumer Issues: Distributed GenerationOverviewConsumer Issues: PHEVs and Fuel CellsPHEVsMiscellaneous Consumer Issues
Fuel Cells
Consumer Issues: Marketer MomentumConvenience Issues
Entertainment Issues
Customer Service Issues
Energy Efficiency Issues
Employment Issues - Chapter 4: Appliance and Software (A/S) Marketers
-
Overview
Number of MarketersCompetitive Profiles
Size of Marketers
Smart Grid Specialists
Corporate Giants
Where Are the Clean/Green Tech Marketers?
Partnerships and Alliances
Marketers: Smart Meters
Table 4-1: Selected List of Smart Meter Marketers
Marketers: Advanced Metering Infrastructure
Table 4-2: Selected List of AMI Marketers
Marketers: Demand Response
Table 4-3: Selected List of Demand Response Marketers
Marketers: Home Energy Management Systems
Table 4-4: Selected List of HEMS Marketers
Marketers: Energy Information Displays
Table 4-5: Selected List of EID Marketers
Marketers: Home Area Networks
Table 4-6: Selected List of HAN Marketers
Marketers: Smart AppliancesItron
Table 4-7: Selected List of Itron Partners
Landis+Gyr
Echelon Corp
Silver Spring Networks
Trilliant
EnerNOC
Comverge
GridPoint
Cisco Systems
Google
General Electric
Intel - Chapter 5: Applications/Software Trends
-
Trends: Smart Meters
Projected Number of U.S. Smart Meter InstallationsTrends: Communications Networks
Deployments Planned or in Progress
Table 5-1: Utility Smart Meter Deployments Planned or in Progress, 2010
Projected Number of World Smart Meter Installations
Nations with Advanced Smart Meter Programs
The Ongoing Accuracy Controversy
Open Questions on Communications and Functionality
Greater Speed
Retrofitting AMR MetersOverviewTrends: Demand Response
Wired Approaches
Wireless Long-Distance Approaches
Table 5-2: Long Distance Wireless Communications Platforms
Wireless Short-Distance Approaches
Flexible Communications OptionsDR StatisticsTrends: HEMS
Three Scenarios: 2009-2019
Questioning the Scenarios
Residential DR Likely to Grow
DR Marketers with Residential Programs
DR Marketers Entering Building Management
Trends: TOU Pricing
Trends: Dynamic Pricing
Table 5-3: Dynamic Pricing Pilot Projects and Rate Structures, 2010Shifting Category BoundariesTrends: Home Area Networks (HANs)
Statistics on Energy Information Displays (EIDs)
EIDs and Savings Percentages
Fall-Off in Engagement
Compelling, Engaging EIDs
New EID ProductsOverviewTrends: Smart Appliances
Logical Endpoint of A/S Development
Vast HAN Possibilities
Table 5-4: Selected List of HAN Applications by Category
Media Possibilities
Global Giants Enter HAN
Table 5-5: Selected Global Marketers Interested in HAN Development
Competition Could Quickly Heat Up
Marketing-Oriented Questions on HAN
Brief Focus: Control4
Brief Focus: 4 Home Control2001 Statistics: Energy Use of Home Appliances/DevicesTrends: Fuel Cells/Other
Figure 5-1: Percentage of Electricity Use by Appliance/Device, 2001
2009 Statistics: Soaring Home Electronics Energy Use
Implications
Smart Appliances: AHAM Definitions
Smart Appliances: Inhibiting Factors
Appliance Giants Forging Ahead
Demand Response Capabilities by Appliance
DR Appliance Programs
Smart Appliances: Projections
Brief Focus: GE
Brief Focus: Whirlpool Corp.Fuel CellsTrends: Electric Vehicles
On the Horizon
Thermoelectric Technologies
Thermoacoustic TechnologiesOverviewTrends: Marketers
EVs Are Coming
EV Challenges/Opportunities
Major EV Challenge: Load Control
Other Worries
Solution: Off-Peak Charging
Vehicle to Grid (V2G)
EVs Necessitate Dynamic Pricing
EV Problem Areas and Issues
Table 5-6: Electric Vehicles: Problem Areas and Issues
Focus: EV Charging Infrastructure
Two States with Advanced Charging Plans
Charging at Work and Home
Economic Questions about Charging
EV Charging: Companies/Products
Brief Focus: Better Place
Charging Infrastructure RolloutsCompetitive Marketer Trends
Cooperative Marketer Trends
Fight the Power
Kaleidoscopic Partnering Activity
Table 5-7: Selected Examples of Smart Grid Partnering Activity, 2009/2010
Table 5-8: Selected Trilliant Partners
Alliances and Coalitions
Brief Focus: The Smart Grid Consumer Coalition
Duke Energy: A Contrarian Approach to Collaboration - Chapter 6: Surveys and Deployments
-
Consumer Surveys
Smart Grid? Never Heard of ItUtilities Surveys
Bright Spot: Consumer Concerns over Energy Costs
Attitudes Favorable among the SG-Aware
Surveys on A/S Categories
Smart Meters: Vague Awareness
Demand Response Resistance/Indifference
HEMS: Open to the Idea
Willingness to Pay for HEMS
But Not Nearly Enough
HAN Has Growing AppealOracle Survey Shows Utilities LaggingDeployment: SmartGridCity (Boulder, CO)
GTM Survey on Utilities
Microsoft Survey on UtilitiesOverview: An Ambitious EffortDeployment: Pecan Street Project (Austin, TX)
Phase I
Phase II
Advancements on the Utility Side
The Next Phase: Consumer Integration
Consumer Services
Most Services Not Yet in Place
Testing Dynamic Pricing
Financial Problems
Legal Problems
Unresolved Financing QuestionsOverview: A Methodical Effort
Origins
Needed: New Business Model
Recommendations Emerge
Most Vexing Problem: Profit from Efficiency
The Distributed Generation Problem
Relevant Recommendations
Seven Parameters
Recommendation: Testing/Pilots/Demos
Recommendation: Promote PEVs
Recommendation: Dynamic Pricing
Recommendation: New Business Model
Recommendation: Flat-Rate System - Chapter 7: The Smart Grid Market
-
Market Size and ProjectionsFactors In Future Growth
Overall Smart Grid: Size and Projections
Table 7-1: Overall Smart Grid Market: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: Smart Meters
Table 7-2: Smart Meter Category: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: Demand Response
Table 7-3: Demand Response Category: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Segment Size/Projections: In-Home Displays
Table 7-4: In-Home Displays Segment: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: Home Area Networks
Table 7-5: Home Area Networks Category: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: Smart Appliances
Table 7-6: Smart Appliance Category: Size and Projections, 2009-2014 (in billion $)
Category Size/Projections: PHEVs and Fuel Cells
Smart Grid Investment EstimatesOverview
Imperative to Upgrade the Aging Grid
Sheer Marketer Power
Technology Drivers
Ecological Driver: Climate Change
The Grid and Weather-Related Incidents
Ecological Driver: Resource Limits
Inhibitors: The Economy and Consumer Demand
Political Drivers
Government Stimulus
Regulation Rule Changes Rewarding Efficiency
発刊日
2010/07/01
体裁
PDF / 192ページ
販売価格
3,500USD
発行
SBI
備考
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